Famed pollster Ann Selzer says that's why Harris is ahead

The Iowa pollster, who surprised pundits and politicians alike over the weekend with a poll showing Kamala Harris leading Donald Trump in the state, said the poll was indicative of a modern reality: Abortion has mobilized Democrats.

J. Ann Selzer, whose primary polls have long predicted the final outcome in Iowa, said on MSNBC The weekend that she didn't have “as much data as we would like about why this is happening,” referring to the Des Moines Register According to a poll, Harris is three percentage points ahead of Trump. However, she said the data was consistent with the coverage the paper's political reporters tracked during the election.

“Our reporters who work in this area agree that the abortion ban went into effect last summer,” Selzer said, according to the report Daily Mail. “I think it got people interested in voting.”

Selzer, described as the “best pollster in politics,” acknowledged that voters may lean toward Trump on Election Day, but she personally saw fewer Trump signs than she did in 2020.

The survey was widely derided by Republicans, especially Trump. “All the polls except one, which was heavily in favor of the Democrats by a Trump hater who called the last one completely wrong, have kept me WAY up,” Trump posted on Truth Social. “I LOVE THE FARMERS AND THEY LOVE ME.”

An Emerson College poll showed Trump leading by 10 points in Iowa, and a New York TimesThe /Siena poll showed the two deadlocked in various swing states, pointing to a historically close election — with the potential for a number of upsets.