Araujo vs Silva Preview, Picks, Predictions

The next fight card on the UFC schedule takes place on Saturday, November 16th at Madison Square Garden in New York City. In the main event of this card, UFC heavyweight titleholder Jon Jones meets former two-time UFC heavyweight champion Stipe Miocic. Before that fight takes place, Viviane Araujo meets Karine Silva in a women's flyweight bout.

UFC 309 streams at 10 p.m. ET on ESPN+ pay-per-view. Prelims for UFC 309 take place at 8:00 p.m. ET on ESPNews, and the early prelims begin streaming at 6:00 p.m. ET on ESPN+.

UFC 309: Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva

Viviane Araujo (12-6) made her UFC debut in May 2019 as a replacement for Melissa Gatto against Talita Bernardo in a bantamweight bout in the early prelims of UFC 237. Araujo won that fight via third-round knockout. The victory remains Araujo's only stoppage win as a member of the UFC roster.

Araujo went 3-1 in her next four fights. However, the 37-year-old has had problems since then and has a record of 2:4 since May 2021. She is coming off a February decision loss to Natalia Silva on a UFC Fight Night card. Despite her losing record, Araujo remains ranked in the top 10 of the UFC women's flyweight class. She is currently ranked No. 9 in the official UFC rankings.

Karine Silva (18-4) earned her UFC contract in 2021 with a second-round submission win on a Dana White Contender Series card. Silva then picked up three first-round submission victories under the UFC banner. In her last outing, Silva showed she could go the three-round distance, earning a unanimous decision win over Ariane da Silva on a UFC Fight Night card.

Silva is the No. 11 ranked fighter in the UFC women's 125-pound class. A win against the longer-reigning Araujo will likely move Silva into the top 10 of the division.

UFC 309 betting odds: Viviane Araujo vs. Karine Silva

Karine Silva opened as the -230 betting favorite ahead of Viviane Araujo who was +190. The closer we get to fight night, the bigger Silva becomes the betting favorite. The current betting line has Silva at -295 and Araujo a +200 underdog.

UFC 309 Predictions and Tips: Viviane Araujo vs Karine Silva

Look for Silva to execute her game plan in this contest by pushing her opponent toward the cage and then taking the fight to the mat. From there, Silva should be able to control the action on the ground. A finish may not be likely, but it could come late in the fight if Araujo's cardiovascular training begins to fail. However, Araujo has never been submitted and she has only suffered one knockout loss in her career, coming in her fourth professional fight in 2017.

The betting tip is that Silva wins by decision.

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