close
close

Current polls on Harris vs. Trump

play

Democrat Kamala Harris and Republican Donald Trump remain in a dead heat as the presidential election approaches in just over a week.

The latest polls released since Sunday show the two candidates in a tight race, although polls from CBS and ABC give the vice president a slight edge over former President Trump. However, TIPP's latest poll found Trump and Harris tied at 48% for the third day in a row.

Amid the tight race, both candidates are focusing on Michigan and Georgia in the final stretch of the 2024 presidential election, two crucial battlegrounds that could decide the race for the White House.

Here's what you should know about the presidential election on Monday, October 28:

Live updates on the 2024 election: Kamala Harris, Donald Trump's court swing states; Latest polls

Harris and Trump are at 48% in TIPP's ongoing coverage

Harris and Trump remain nearly tied in Monday morning's TIPP tracking poll.

The poll of 1,288 likely voters, conducted Oct. 25-27, found both candidates tied at 48%, with a margin of error of 2.7 percentage points.

“With both campaigns in full swing, we expect this razor-thin race to remain close,” said TIPP Insights.

The new poll found that Trump made significant gains among college-educated voters (+13.9 points), black voters (+8.1) and seniors (+8). In contrast, Harris gained ground among voters with at least a college education (+6.3 points) and independent/other voters (+5 points).

In the wake of the election, a growing sense of dissatisfaction with the economy is emerging: According to the TIPP survey, 53% of respondents said they are worse off now than before the pandemic.

Election Day is just a few days away. Sign up for USA TODAY's On Politics newsletter for breaking news and exclusive analysis.

Trump 48%, Harris 47% in new USA TODAY/Suffolk poll

Trump and Harris are nearly tied in Wisconsin, 48% to 47%, a new statewide poll of 500 likely voters found.

The USA TODAY/Suffolk University poll was conducted Oct. 20-23 with a margin of error of 4.4 percentage points.

Harris holds a slight 50% to 47% lead among the 300 likely voters in Door County, which was a major factor in the state. The results are within the margin of error of 5.7 percentage points.

Wisconsin, which has 10 electoral votes and is considered a blue wall state, is among several key swing states that both Trump and Harris are eyeing to catapult them to the presidency. Trump flipped all three states in 2016 and won the presidency. In 2020, Biden won back all three states.

− Rebecca Morin, USA TODAY

New exclusive survey: Harris and Trump were in a dead heat in the battleground of Wisconsin

Harris leads Trump 49% to 47% in the ABC News poll

In the latest ABC News/Ipsos poll released Sunday, which polled a total of 2,808 adults, Harris gained a slight lead among likely voters nationwide.

The poll showed Harris leading 49% to 47% among the 2,392 registered voters surveyed. Looking only at likely voters (1,913 in this poll), Harris also has a slight advantage at 51% to Trump's 47%.

The survey had a sampling error rate of 2 percentage points.

“Compared to earlier this month, Harris has regained a more usual Democratic advantage among the Hispanic population and expanded her advantage among suburban women, while remaining strong among core groups, including blacks,” the poll said. “Trump is pushing back in rural areas and among white men out of college and running competitively among younger men.”

The survey was conducted October 18-22.

The new poll found that most respondents viewed Trump as the best candidate to handle issues such as immigration and the economy. Meanwhile, Harris was considered among respondents to be the most knowledgeable on issues such as abortion and health care.

Harris leads the CBS poll by one percentage point

Harris also leads Trump by a slight lead of one percentage point in the latest CBS News poll released on Sunday.

The poll of 2,161 registered voters showed Harris leading, 50% to 49%, with a margin of error of 2.6 points. It was conducted from October 23rd to 25th.

As in most national polls, the economy was a major concern for respondents, with 84% saying it will be a major factor in their vote this year. More than half (53%) of respondents said things are getting worse.

What you should consider when taking surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

Eric Lagatta covers breaking and breaking news for USA TODAY. Reach him at [email protected]

You may also like...