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Thunder vs Spurs Prediction: Odds, expert picks, expected starting lineups, betting trends and stats

The Oklahoma City Thunder and San Antonio Spurs meet on ESPN for a Midwest showdown between two of the league's youngest teams.

The Thunder are 3-0 with wins over Denver (112-87), Chicago (114-95) and Atlanta (128-104). Oklahoma City has yet to play a close game and the oddsmakers don't expect it to be a close game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander nearly recorded a triple-double against the Hawks with 35 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists.

San Antonio is 1-2 and almost pulled off a comeback win against Houston (106-101) in their last game. Victor Wembanyama had an impressive overall game against Houston, setting early season highs in rebounds (20), assists (5) and blocks (4). The Spurs will look to ride the young superstar as he faces Chet Holgrem and the Thunder.

With that said, let's dive into the matchup and offer some information and maybe a sweat or two.

We've got all the information and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest on how to secure your first pick, projected lineups, recent team performances, player stats and of course our predictions, tips and best bets for the game our modeling tools and our team of experts.

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Match details and how to watch Spurs @ Thunder

● Date: Wednesday, October 30, 2024
● Time: 9:30 p.m. ET
● Website: Paycom Center
● City: Oklahoma City, OK
● TV/Streaming: ESPN

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Spurs @ Thunder odds

The latest odds from Wednesday morning:

● Moneyline: Oklahoma City Thunder (-900), San Antonio Spurs (+600)
● Spread: Thunder -13 (-110)
● Total: 221.5

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Projected starting lineups for San Antonio and Oklahoma City

· San Antonio Spurs (1-2)

PG Chris Paul
SG Julian Champagnie
SF Harrison Barnes
PF Jeremy Sochan
C Victor Wembanayma

· Oklahoma City Thunder (3-0)

PG Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
SG Cason Wallace
SF Luguentz There
PF Jalen Williams
C Chet Holgrem

Key betting trends and insights to know ahead of Spurs @ Thunder

  • OKC is one of four teams undefeated ATS (3-0).
  • San Antonio is 1-2 ATS to start the season.
  • Both OKC and San Antonio are 2-1 against the under this year.
  • As home favorites, the Thunder went 25-15-1 ATS (62.5%) and finished sixth last season.
  • The Spurs went 20-19-1 ATS (51.3%) as road underdogs last year.
  • The Spurs finished sixth-worst in the ML last year as underdogs at 8:31 (20.5%).
  • Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had 35 points, 11 rebounds and 9 assists in his last game. SGA is 3-0 to the over with its rebound prop.
  • Victor Wembanyama has recorded at least three blocks in the last two games.
  • Chet Holgrem has scored at least 21 points and grabbed 9 rebounds in three straight games.

Notable player props for Spurs @ Thunder

High point props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 28.5 points
Victor Wembanayam O/U 24.5 points
Chet Holgrem O/U 19.5 points
Jalen Williams O/U 19.5 points

Highest rebound props

Victor Wembanayama O/U 12.5 rebounds
Chet Holgrem O/U 9.5 rebounds
Jeremy Sochan O/U 7.5 rebounds
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 6.5 rebounds

Highest assist props

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O/U 6.5 assists
Chris Paul O/U 6.5 assists
Jalen Williams O/U 5.5 assists

If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on today's schedule, check out our NBA Top Trends Tool on NBC Sports!

Expert tips and predictions for Spurs @ Thunder

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NBC Sports Bet Best Bet

Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) likes Oklahoma City's team total over 117.5 against the Spurs with a spread on the Spurs 1H ML:

“If we're talking half units or sprinkles, I can get away with the Spurs 1H ML in Oklahoma City. Despite being -13 home favorites, the Thunder have not yet been tested and Victor Wembanyama and the Spurs are hungry.

San Antonio led Dallas and Houston at halftime of their first two games before falling behind in the previous game against the Rockets. However, last season, Oklahoma City won three meetings against San Antonio by scores of 26, 38 and 36, but lost one by 14 and trailed at halftime.

We'll know how competitive this game is by halftime, but the Thunder will definitely score a lot of points. OKC scored 123, 140, 132 and 127 points in four meetings with the Spurs last season. I think OKC is going for 120-plus points for the Spurs again, so give me the Thunder Team Total Over 117.5 and I would reward the Spurs with 1H ML for fun.”

Want more NBA best bets and predictions from our team of experts and tools? Check them out EXPERT NBA Predictions NBC Sports page for moneyline, spread and overall picks for each of the games on today's calendar!

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· Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
· Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
· Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
· Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)