Prediction USF vs. FAU, odds, line: College football tips week 10 2024, Friday bets based on proven model

Familiar foes meet in Week 10 when the Florida Atlantic Owls (2-5, 0-3) host the South Florida Bulls (3-4, 1-2) in an AAC showdown on Friday. Both teams are coming off a bye week, with the Bulls defeating last place UAB 35-25 in Week 8 and the Owls losing to UTSA 38-24. USF's win ended a three-game losing streak, while Florida Atlantic had lost two straight games heading into Friday.

Kickoff at FAU Stadium is 7:30 p.m. ET. After opening at -4.5, the Bulls are now a 2.5-point favorite in the latest FAU vs. USF odds, according to SportsLine consensus, while the over/under for total points scored is 47.5, which is down from the opening value of 51. For FAU picks, you need to check out the SportsLine Projection Model's college football predictions and betting tips.

The model simulates every FBS college football game 10,000 times. Since its inception, the company has generated well over $2,000 in betting profits for players with $100 on its top-rated college football picks, and through the final five weeks of this season, it has a staggering 16 on all top-rated picks: 7. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now the model has chosen Florida Atlantic vs. South Florida and has just announced its coveted picks and predictions. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are the college football betting lines and trends for South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic.

• Spread between FAU and USF: Bulls -2.5
• FAU vs. USF over/under: 47.5 points
• FAU vs. USF Money Line: USF -139, FAU +115
• FAU: 3-4-0 ATS this season
• USF: 3-4-0 ATS this season
• FAU vs. USF tips: You can find the tips here
• FAU vs. USF streaming: FuboTV (try for free)

Why South Florida Can Cover

The biggest question mark for the Bulls heading into Friday's game is whether Byrum Brown, out since Sept. 28 with a leg injury, will play, and there is some concern as backup quarterback Bryce Archie has struggled with his accuracy in two starts . However, Archie played better against a UAB defense that doesn't give up much in the passing game. Running back Kelley Joiner rushed for 94 yards and had two touchdowns in the game, and he will challenge an FAU rush defense that is allowing an average of 200.7 yards on the ground.

The Bulls' defense has performed well against the run this season, allowing just 137.3 yards per game. They also faced strong quarterbacks this season in Miami's Cam Ward and Alabama's Jalen Milroe. FAU's offense isn't as potent as those two programs, so South Florida's defense can contain them to cover the spread. Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

Why Florida Can Cover Atlantic

The Owls are expecting a good performance from quarterback Cam Fancher, who completed just 47.4% of his passes in Week 8 against the UTSA Roadrunners. He will have room to improve Friday against a Bulls pass defense that ranks near the bottom of the AAC, averaging 291.3 yards allowed per game. Fancher has also found success in the ground game, averaging 153.1 yards per game.

Florida Atlantic holds a lead in the all-time series, winning the last two meetings against South Florida. That includes a game last season in Tampa that the Owls won 56-14. Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

How to make FAU vs. USF picks

SportsLine's model leans toward the overall score, predicting 61 combined points. It also says that in well over 50% of simulations, one side of the spread applies. You can see the model selection at SportsLine.

So who wins South Florida vs. Florida Atlantic and which side of the spread hits well over 50% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you should jump on, everything from the Advanced Model, which has risen well over $2,000 in top-rated spread picks since its inception, and find out.