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Trump leads Harris in every swing state: new poll

Former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by narrow but growing leads in every swing state, according to a new poll.

AtlasIntel's survey of likely American voters has found that the Republican candidate is favored to win in North Carolina, Georgia, Arizona, Nevada, Wisconsin, Michigan and Pennsylvania in the final days of the 2024 presidential election.

Four of the states are outside the margin of error in the polls.

SHAWN THEW/EPA-EFE/Shutterstock

Arizona is where Trump has his biggest lead, with a 52.3% to 45.8% lead over Harris.

In Nevada, AtlasIntel predicts the former president has a 51.2% to 46% lead over the current president.

In North Carolina – where both candidates campaigned on Saturday – Trump is ahead 50.5% to 47.1%.

In Georgia, Republicans lead Democrats by 50.1% to 47.6%.

Several of the swing states are within the poll's two-point margin of error.

In Michigan, 49.7% for Trump and 48.2% for Harris.

In Pennsylvania, 49.6% for Trump and 47.8% for Harris.

And the closest contest is Wisconsin – 49.7% for Trump and 48.6% for Harris.

Atlas Intel, /X

According to the poll, Trump is leading overall at 49%, ahead of Harris at 47.2%.

REUTERS

AtlasIntel boasts in its survey that it was the most accurate in the 2020 election cycle, accurately predicting every swing state within the margin of error.