Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, spread, line, prediction: Monday Night Football picks from the NFL model with a 13-5 run

The Kansas City Chiefs (7-0) host the Tampa Bay Buccaneers (4-4) on Monday Night Football. The Chiefs are the only undefeated team in the NFL. In Week 8, Kansas City defeated the Raiders 27-20. On the other hand, the Buccaneers have lost two games in a row, losing 31-26 to the Atlanta Falcons last week. Tampa Bay receiver Mike Evans (hamstring) is out while fellow receiver Chris Godwin (ankle) is out with an injury. The latest weather forecast for Buccaneers vs. Chiefs calls for rain and temperatures in the 60s.

Kickoff from GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium in Kansas City is scheduled for 8:15 p.m. ET. Kansas City is the nine-point favorite in the latest SportsLine Consensus Chiefs vs. Buccaneers odds, up 1.5 from the opener, while the over/under for total points scored is 45.5, unchanged from the opening line has. The Chiefs are -433 moneyline favorites while the Buccaneers are +337 underdogs. Before you decide on Buccaneers vs. Chiefs, be sure to check out the NFL predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, has gained well over $7,000 on top-rated NFL picks since its launch for $100 players. The model enters Week 9 of the 2024 NFL season with an incredible 13-5 winning streak when betting on top-rated NFL picks this year. Longer term, the record is 194-134 among top-rated NFL picks since the 2017 season and 48-27 among top-rated NFL picks since Week 7 of 2022.

The model also ranked in the top 10 in straight NFL picks on NFLPickWatch over the past six years, beating more than 94% of CBS Sports' football pick'em players four times during that period. Anyone who follows sports betting and betting apps has seen strong returns.

Now the model has simulated Chiefs vs. Buccaneers 10,000 times and just revealed its coveted NFL picks and betting predictions for Week 9. You can now head over to SportsLine to see the model's picks. Here are several NFL odds and NFL betting lines for Bucs vs. Chiefs:

• Chiefs vs. Buccaneers vs. Chiefs distribution: Kansas City -9
• Chiefs vs. Buccaneers over/under: 45.5 points
• Money line Chiefs vs. Buccaneers: Kansas City -433, Tampa Bay +337
• KC: The Chiefs have reached the team total under in six of their last eight home games
• TB: The Buccaneers have scored recently in nine of their last twelve games
• Chiefs vs. Buccaneers picks: See picks at SportsLine
• Chiefs vs. Buccaneers streaming: FuboTV (Try for free)

Why the Chiefs can cover

The Kansas City Chiefs rank 11th in the NFL in total offense (348). Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is the leader of this unit and will find a way to get his playmakers the ball. Mahomes has thrown for 1,651 yards and eight touchdowns. He has thrown for over 220 yards in four different games this season.

Tight end Travis Kelce has been a reliable playmaker throughout his career and has improved his game recently. Kelce leads the team in receptions (38) and receiving yards (335) by one score. He has had more than 70 yards receiving in three of the last four games. Tampa Bay's pass defense struggled, ranking 29th in pass defense (255.4). Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

Why the Buccaneers can cover

Quarterback Baker Mayfield has excelled for the Bucs. Despite being without his top targets, Mayfield is still capable of making the right play. The Oklahoma product ranks second in the NFL in passing yards (2,189) and first in passing touchdowns (21). He has thrown for over 300 yards in three straight games. In his last outing, he went 37 of 50 for 330 yards and three passes.

Tight end Cade Otton has elevated his play in the absence of Evans and Godwin. Otton has safe hands and shines in midfield. The 25-year-old ranks second on the team in catches (36) and receiving yards (344) with three touchdowns. He has recorded at least eight catches and 80 yards in consecutive games. Find out who you can support at SportsLine.

How to pick Buccaneers vs. Chiefs

SportsLine's model is above the total, predicting 47 combined points. The model also says that one side of the spread has all the value. You can go to SportsLine to see the model's selection.

So who will win the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs on Monday Night Football and which side of the standings has the most value? Visit SportsLine now to see which team comes out on top in the Buccaneers vs. Chiefs game, all under the model that has returned well over $7,000 for top-rated NFL picks, and find out.