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Democratic strategist James Carville breaks silence on election prospects: 'No sterling'

Democratic strategist James Carville has broken his silence on the current state of the 2024 election.

“The early signs here are not exactly convincing,” Carville said on Amazon’s live Election Day coverage, suggesting that the current results appear to be trending toward the negative.

As of 8:45 p.m., not a single swing state had been declared, although former Republican President Donald Trump has shown significant improvement overall so far compared to his 2020 contest against Joe Biden.


Political commentator James Carville before the Democratic National Convention in August. Bloomberg via Getty Images

James Carville sits in a chair with microphone at the Politics War Room Live event at 92NY, New York, USA
Carville stated that the current results of the 2024 election appear to be trending towards the negative. Stephanie Augello/Shutterstock

Carville – the architect of Bill Clinton's successful insurgent 1992 presidential campaign – predicted a victory for Democratic Vice President Kamala Harris on Friday.

“She has more money, more energy, a more unified party, better surrogates – and he's completely crazy,” the Louisiana-based analyst said on MSNBC's “Morning Joe.”

Public polls showed the election was all but hopeless as voters headed out to cast their ballots Tuesday morning.

But Carville, who goes by the nickname “Ragin' Cajun,” also often warned the Harris campaign that the polls weren't as rosy as they seemed.

“I urge Democrats to exercise some caution here. “First of all, most people want to say that we have to win the popular vote by three votes to win the Electoral College,” Carville said on “Real Time with Bill Maher” in August.

“So when you see a poll that says… you're up two, that actually means you're down one if the poll is accurate,” he added.

“The other thing is that traditionally, when Trump enters the election, he has chronically underperforming poll numbers,” Carville said at the time.

Key voter demographics for Harris — including Hispanics, college-educated voters and independents — are leaning more toward Trump than previously predicted, according to some exit polls and early voting returns.

Not a single swing state was invoked.