US election forecast: GOP strategist says all pollsters are misjudging the US elections because they overlooked this shift

GOP strategist Alex Castellanos said polls that predicted a razor-thin gap between former President Donald Trump and Vice President Kamala Harris missed a massive shift in Republican enthusiasm. “What I think they're missing is a massive shift in voter registration that's behind all of this. Thirty-one states have voter registration by party. “30 of them have seen a shift toward Republicans in the last four years,” the strategist said on Fox News. He said it wasn't a wave, but a wavelet, and that pollsters had ignored Republican registration.
“I think there's a wave, I won't call it a wave, but I think there's a wave of Republican enthusiasm and registration out there. What should I do if I register to vote Republican, whether I’m switching or new?”
“I think the pollsters are getting this wrong. We all miss something because they keep giving us the same survey. There’s not even a statistical difference,” Castellanos said.
“It’s like they’re telling us we’re watching a basketball game where every play is a jump ball.”
Harris vs. Trump: What the latest polls said
The latest NYT/Sienna poll showed it will be a photo finish in the seven swing states – Harris showing new strength in North Carolina and Georgia and Trump erasing his lead in Pennsylvania and maintaining his lead in Arizona.
Harris was said to be narrowly leading in Nevada, North Carolina and Wisconsin and Trump was leading in Arizona. In Michigan, Georgia and Pennsylvania the battle is near.
Ann Selzer's poll of Iowa, a ruby ​​red state that Trump won in both 2016 and 2020, showed Kamala Harris leading the conservation state by three percentage points, Donald Trump called the poll fake and Ann Selzer a Trump hater. But the survey unsettled Republicans.
Polling guru Nate Silver, whose prediction leans more toward Trump, said pollsters are not revealing their actual numbers to be on the safe side and are predicting a close race. The actual results won't be that close, Silver said.