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See Path, Spaghetti Models of the Storm

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Hurricane Kristy strengthened to a Category 4 storm on Wednesday and is expected to fluctuate in strength throughout the day on Thursday, the National Hurricane Center said Thursday morning.

As of Thursday morning, Kristy was about 845 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja, California, and continuing to move west. The hurricane center said west to west-northwest movement is forecast through Thursday and slower northwest to north-northwest movement is expected through late Friday.

Kristy has maximum sustained winds of about 150 mph with stronger gusts Thursday morning, with some “fluctuations in strength” expected through Thursday, the NHC said. The storm is expected to weaken quickly starting Thursday night or Friday.

The storm was expected to continue moving over open waters, but waves caused by Kristy will affect parts of the west coast of California's Baja Peninsula later this week, the hurricane center said. These waves would “likely result in life-threatening surf and rip current conditions,” they said.

Hurricane Kristy Path Tracker

This forecast track shows the most likely path of the storm center. It does not show the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is expected to move outside the cone up to 33% of the time.

Hurricane Kristy spaghetti models

The figures cover a range of forecasting tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center only uses the four or five best-performing models in its forecasts.

Gabe Hauari is a nationally featured news reporter at USA TODAY. You can follow him on X @GabeHauari or email him at [email protected].

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