Troy vs. Arkansas Prediction College Basketball Picks 11/13/24

Arkansas suffered a 67-72 road loss at Baylor, failing to cover the spread and the game falling short of the total score of 156. The Razorbacks struggled to shoot the ball, shooting just 41% from the field and 25% from beyond Downtown. Abou Thiero led the Arkansas offense with 24 points and 6 rebounds.

Boogie Fland leads Arkansas with a team-high 17 points, 4 rebounds and 5 assists this season. Abou Thiero added 16 points and 5 rebounds. Arkansas will then face Pacific, Little Rock, Maryland Eastern Shore and Illinois.

Troy Trojan Preview

The Troy Trojans have a perfect 2-0 record this season and are tied for first place in the Sun Belt with Texas State. They have a 1-0 away record, a 2-0 advantage against the spread and 1-1 in the over/under.

Offensively, Troy averages 81 points per game, ranking 156th nationally, while defensively they allow 67.5 points per game (140th). The 49ers had a shooting rate of 47.7% from the field (146th) and just 30.4% from distance (252nd).

Troy is coming off a 78-61 victory in New Orleans, making it the difference and putting the game under the total score of 152. The Trojans played excellent defense, holding New Orleans to just 37% from the field and 20% from downtown while winning the battle along the boards (44-30). Jackson Fields led Troy's offense with 15 points and 10 rebounds, a team-high 10 rebounds.

Tayton Conerway leads Troy with a team-high 12.5 points, 4 rebounds and 6 assists this season. Jackson Fields added 12.5 points and 7.5 rebounds, a team-high. After this game, Troy faces Oregon, West Georgia, UTSA and Merrimack.

Why the Arkansas Razorbacks will win

• Troy has lost each of its last 12 games against the Southeastern Conference.
• Arkansas has won 43 of its last 44 games against non-conference opponents at Bud Walton Arena.
• Arkansas has won the first half in each of its last 14 Wednesday night games against non-conference opponents.

Why the Troy Trojans will win

• Troy has won each of its last four games against non-conference opponents.
• Troy has won the first half in 14 of its last 16 games.

Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks Prediction

Arkansas has won all three previous meetings against Troy and went 2-1 overall. In their last meeting in 2022, Arkansas won at home 74-61. In this Troy Trojans vs. Arkansas Razorbacks prediction, Arkansas comes out as the -13 home favorite. Arkansas has been mediocre in their two games this season and I can't call them big home favorites. Troy has a better offense, scoring nearly 10 more points than Arkansas, and both teams are very close defensively. I expect Troy to keep this reasonably close, so get the Troy Trojans and get the points on the road.