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Current polls on Harris vs. Trump

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Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump are in a tight race for the White House as Election Day 2024 approaches.

The polls released Thursday confirm what has been clear for weeks: It's an incredibly close race.

The portion of the electorate influenced by candidates is shrinking as more people across the country head to the polls to vote early.

Trump and Harris are traveling in key swing states and appearing in interviews as they made their final addresses to Americans.

Here's what you need to know about the presidential election results on Thursday, October 24:

Live updates on the 2024 election: Trump and Harris travel to three key swing states; Latest polls

Trump 47%, Harris 45% in the latest Wall Street Journal poll

Republican presidential candidate Trump is two percentage points ahead of Democratic presidential candidate Harris in a new Wall Street Journal poll.

The poll of 1,500 registered voters, conducted Oct. 19-22, showed Trump leading 47% to 45%, within the poll's margin of error of 2.5 percentage points.

The latest numbers represent a small trend toward Trump since the last Wall Street Journal poll in August, which showed a 47% to 45% lead for Harris.

Trump 48%, Harris 46% in the latest CNBC poll

In a CNBC All-America Economic Survey released on Thursday, Republican presidential candidate Trump leads Democratic presidential candidate Harris by two percentage points.

The national poll of 1,000 voters showed Trump with a 48% to 46% lead over Harris, within the poll's 3.1% margin of error. The survey took place from October 15th to 19th.

The poll also showed that the economy remains a dominant issue for voters.

“Trump has a clear lead among voters who prioritize inflation, the economy and addressing the needs of the middle class,” CNBC explained. “With a range of 42% to 24%, Voters say they will be better off financially if Trump wins. 29% say their financial situation would not change no matter who is elected. “

Harris 50%, Trump 47% in Tipp's ongoing poll coverage

Democratic presidential candidate Harris is three percentage points ahead of the Republican presidential candidate in Tipp's tracking poll on Thursday morning.

The poll of 1,260 likely voters, conducted between Oct. 21 and Oct. 23, shows Harris leading 50% to 47%, with a margin of error of 2.8%.

According to Tipp, both candidates have fluctuated within a three-point range over the past 10 days.

“This stable but small margin suggests a volatile electorate where every percentage point counts,” Tipp noted.

Bloomberg's swing state poll shows the candidates undecided

The candidates are statistically ranked among likely voters in seven swing states, according to a Bloomberg News/Morning Consult poll conducted Wednesday evening.

Harris is narrowly ahead of Trump in all swing states, 49.1% to 48.5%, within the margin of error of one percentage point. The data comes from a survey that surveyed 5,308 registered voters in Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, North Carolina, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin from October 16-20.

“Harris outperforms her opponent in the poll on several personal attributes that could help her appeal to disaffected Republicans. When asked which candidate could best be described as mentally fit, honest and compassionate, swing-state voters overwhelmingly chose Harris,” Bloomberg reported. That contrasts with findings that more voters see Trump as experienced, patriotic and see yourself as a strong leader.

What you should consider when taking surveys

The margin of error describes how accurately we can assume that the survey results are representative of the entire population.

If a candidate's lead is “within” the margin of error, it is considered a “statistical tie,” according to the Pew Research Center.

Pew also found that the majority of pollsters have changed their methods since the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, which significantly underestimated Trump's performance.

Kinsey Crowley is a featured news reporter at USA TODAY. Reach her at [email protected] and follow her on X and TikTok @kinseycrowley.

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